美元的收益之前，沉重的事件风险

US Dollar Gains Ahead of Heavy Event Risk美元的收益之前，沉重的事件风险

April 30, 2008 – 1:28 am 2008年4月30日-上午0 1时2 8分

Written by Terri Belkas and David Song, DailyFX.com写的特瑞belkas和大卫宋， dailyfx.com

The US dollar gained against most of the major currencies ahead of the market moving data scheduled for tomorrow, and pushed investors to lower their risk appetite as they raised bets of a 25bp rate cut. 美元上涨对大部分主要货币走在市场的移动数据定于明日，推动投资者以降低其风险的胃口，因为他们提出的投注一个25bp降息。 As a result, the greenback advanced against most of the commodity currencies expect for the Canadian dollar, which held up amid falling oil prices. 因此， greenback先进对大部分的商品货币预期为加元兑美元，举行了中石油价格的下跌。 The low yielding Yen also strengthened against the US dollar - sparked by a rise in risk aversion, while the Swiss franc inched lower to trade at 1.03. 该低产日元也加强了对美元-所引发的上升，在风险规避，而瑞士法郎小幅降低贸易在1 .03。 The European currencies continued to lose ground against the US dollar as negative sales data for the 欧洲货币继续地面失去对美元负面的销售数据为 UK 英国 and Euro-Zone lowered the growth prospects for both countries and pulled back the British Pound and Euro to 1.96 and 1.55, respectively. 以及欧元区调低经济增长的前景，为这两个国家和拉回，英国英镑和欧元，以1.96和1.55 ，分别。

Fresh housing data lowered the growth prospects for the 新鲜住房市场的统计数据降低了经济增长的前景为 US 美国 economy as downside risks continued to surface, with more consumers voicing their concerns about the current economic situation. 经济下滑的风险继续表面上，与更多的消费者道出了他们所关注的关于当前的经济形势。 The S&P/CaseShiller Composite fell 12.7 percent, the sharpest decline since record keeping began in 2001. 的 S ＆ P / caseshiller综合指数下跌12.7 ％，最大跌幅以来，备存纪录从2001年开始的。 Financial instability paired with tightening credit conditions has made it increasingly difficult for the housing market to get back on its feet, with home prices persistently falling as the inventory of unsold homes reached record levels. 金融不稳定的搭配收紧信贷条件，取得了越来越难以为房屋市场重新站立起来，与房价持续下跌的存货未售出房屋达到创纪录的水平。 Falling consumer confidence has also added damped the growth prospects for the economy as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence index fell for the fourth consecutive month to dip to a five year low of 62.3 from 64.5. 消费者信心下降，还增加了阻尼的增长前景，为经济作为会议委员会的消费者信心指数下跌，为连续第四个月下滑至五年低点62.3 ，从64.5 。 Consumers continue to feel the economic strains as raging food and energy costs limit their spending capabilities, with growth prospects looking increasingly bleak as economic activity deteriorates. 消费者继续感受到经济株为肆虐的食品和能源成本的限制，他们的消费能力，与经济增长的前景展望日益暗淡的经济活动恶化。

Negative economic data sparked another round of bearish sentiment in the stock markets and dragged the markets into negative territory after early morning gains. 负面的经济数据引发另一轮的看跌情绪在股市和拖市场的负面领土后，清晨收益。 As a result, the DJIA shaved 39.81 points to hold at 12,831.94 points, with pharmaceutical giant Merck taking the biggest loss. 因此，道指削发39.81点，至12831.94举行点，与制药业巨头默克公司采取的最大损失。 The broader S&P500 fell 5.43 points to 1,390.94 points, with 127 stocks falling to a new 52 week low. 更广泛的标普500下跌5.43点，至1390.94点，与127库存下降到一个新的52周低。

The rise in risk aversion spurred increased demands for long-term US Treasuries, while demands for short-terms bonds wavered as the economic outlook for the 崛起在风险规避带动需求的增加，为长远的美国国库券，而需求短期而言，债券动摇，作为经济展望为 US 美国 remains dreary. 仍然是悲凉。 As a result, the benchmark 10-Year yield dropped to 3.823 percent from 3.831, while the 2-Year yield rose to 2.362 percent from 2.350. 因此，基准的十年期国债殖利率下降至3.823 ％，从3.831 ，而2年期债券收益率上升至2.362 ％，从2.350 。

Looking ahead, we expect heightened US Dollar volatility to follow early on in the morning as 1 ^st quarter GDP figures are scheduled for release at 12:30 GMT, and expect annualized growth to inch lower to 0.4 percent from 0.6 percent. 展望未来，我们期望提高，美元的波动遵循早在上午，作为^第一季的本地生产总值数字，预计释放在格林威治时间12时30分，并期望年均增长英寸降低到了0.4 ％， 0.6 ％。 Following the release, our attention will be turned to the FOMC rate decision at 18:15 GMT, and forecast the central bank to lower key rates by 25bp to 2.00 percent. 以下释放，我们的注意力将转向联邦公开市场委员会的利率决定，在格林威治时间18时15分，并预测，中央银行降低利率主要是由25bp至2.00 ％。