Archive for April, 2008

Apr
30

Written by Terri Belkas and David Song, DailyFX.com

The US dollar gained against most of the major currencies ahead of the market moving data scheduled for tomorrow, and pushed investors to lower their risk appetite as they raised bets of a 25bp rate cut. As a result, the greenback advanced against most of the commodity currencies expect for the Canadian dollar, which held up amid falling oil prices. The low yielding Yen also strengthened against the US dollar – sparked by a rise in risk aversion, while the Swiss franc inched lower to trade at 1.03. The European currencies continued to lose ground against the US dollar as negative sales data for the UK and Euro-Zone lowered the growth prospects for both countries and pulled back the British Pound and Euro to 1.96 and 1.55, respectively.

Fresh housing data lowered the growth prospects for the US economy as downside risks continued to surface, with more consumers voicing their concerns about the current economic situation. The S&P/CaseShiller Composite fell 12.7 percent, the sharpest decline since record keeping began in 2001. Financial instability paired with tightening credit conditions has made it increasingly difficult for the housing market to get back on its feet, with home prices persistently falling as the inventory of unsold homes reached record levels. Falling consumer confidence has also added damped the growth prospects for the economy as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence index fell for the fourth consecutive month to dip to a five year low of 62.3 from 64.5. Consumers continue to feel the economic strains as raging food and energy costs limit their spending capabilities, with growth prospects looking increasingly bleak as economic activity deteriorates. Read more…

Apr
27

Source: DailyFX.com
The US dollar staged a massive comeback last week as US economic data indicated that, while conditions remain dismal, they aren’t quite as bad as expected. First, the Richmond Fed index “onlyâ€? fell to 0 from +6, versus expectations of a drop to -1, while existing home sales slipped 2.0 percent. Next, the headline reading of the Commerce Department’s durable goods orders report contracted for the third consecutive month during March, due largely to declines in demand for transportation and defense goods. However, the markets took their cue from the durable goods orders excluding transportation reading, as the index surged 1.5 percent and helped to keep the US dollar rally alive.

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Apr
24

Thursday, 24 April 2008 13:24:40 GMT 

Written by John Rivera, Currency Analyst 

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Apr
24

Written by Kathy Lien, Chief Strategist of DailyFX.com

The Japanese Yen crosses were mixed today with USD/JPY rallying but many of the other yen crosses dipping despite a 42 point rally in the Dow.

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Apr
20

(CEP News) – It’s an important week for Japan and Australia, with both countries releasing inflation data.Looking at Australian inflation, economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia weighted median for the first quarter to rise 0.9% following a 1.1 % rise in the fourth quarter of 2007. Annual weighted median data is expected to rise 4.0% following a prior increase of 3.8%.

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Apr
17

(CEP News) – On Thursday, markets will focus on Canada with the release of March CPI inflation data. In the United States, the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing survey will be the highlight of the day.Canadian annualized core CPI is expected to remain below the Bank of Canada inflation target, coming in at 1.4% for March following February’s increase of 1.5%. Month-over-month core CPI is expected to rise 0.3% following February’s increase of 0.5%.

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Apr
13

via Action Forex

(CEP News) – Despite the slowdown in the U.S. and other industrialized nations, the outlook for the developing world remains optimistic, U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said on Sunday.Paulson was speaking to the Development Committee, a body that focuses on the needs of poorer countries. At the beginning of his speech, Paulson repeated prior statements on the U.S. economy – saying that while the short-term outlook is trying, the long-term outlook is good.

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