Yellow pages Forex

Розничные продажи будут сильны достаточно для того чтобы вызвать поворот в долларе США?

Даже если доллар США видел некоторые большие движения над прошлые 2 дня торговли, улетучиваемость не была вызвана переносом в рынок? ориентация s к доллару но вместо диезом отбрасывает в рынках акций США и носит торговли. Это динамическое изменение воли когда мы получим розничные продажи США отчет о и цены производителя завтра. Нормальн эти номера могут определить handedly делают или ломают его для доллара США но несчастливо торговцы these days были очень скептичными. Прогнозы для розничных продаж низки намеревается что even if они приходит вне более лучше чем предположено рынку спросит ли сильная побежка траты sustainable. При non-farm зарплаты держа прочно над past few месяцами, расходование средств потребителями может более менее быть повлияно на более высокими ценами еды и энергии. Также, цены на газ не тикать более высоко до ноября который намеревается что будет номера более сильные позитва доллара аргументы за. В ожидании домашних сбываний сегодня был хорошо также, поднимающ 0.2 процентами вместо падать 2.5 процента как предпологаемый рынок. Как для взвинчивания, аналитики надеются тепловатый подъем на ежемесячное основание, но на annualized основание, ы, что ударяет рост взвинчивания 2 года высокого. Комбинация более слабого доллара и поднимая цены еды и энергии должны вести к более сильному взвинчиванию. Будет иметь ли то остают, что увиден lasting удар на долларе США однако. Когда Bernanke дало его свидетельствованию к совместному хозяйственному комитету последнюю неделю он сфокусировал тяжело on the downside риски к росту чем риску внешней стороны к взвинчиванию. Завтра? номера s нам скажут ли Bernanke? баланс s оценки риска был прав.

Снесите торговли придите close to стирать потери вторника

Dow вверх по 320 пунктам и индекс улетучиваемости опционной биржи доски Chicago (VIX) вниз с 7, вымощающ дорогу для острого отскока внутри носит торговли. There was no real news to drive the price action other than stronger than expected earnings by Wal-Mart and a 3 percent drop in oil prices. Although it may be tempting to believe that the downtrend in carry trades is over, with the exception of USDJPY, none of the Japanese yen crosses managed to close the US trading session above yesterday?s highs. This is not to say that the rebound will not continue but the lack of any real news to support the move makes it questionable. The Bank of Japan left interest rates unchanged last night at 0.5 percent, which was right in line with expectations. GDP growth was also stronger than expected thanks to a rise in exports. Part of the Yen?s weakness today was blamed on the comments from Prime Minister Fukuda who warned against a rapid rise in the Yen, but he also indicated that he had no problems with long term appreciation in the currency. It appears that 110 is the line in the sand for the Japanese government and if we break that again we could hear more serious calls for intervention.

Euro Unfazed By Sharp Fall in Analyst Sentiment

The German ZEW survey of analyst sentiment fell to the lowest level in 15 years but that did not prevent the Euro from rebounding against the US dollar today. Analysts have been notoriously more pessimistic about the outlook for the Eurozone than businesses and over the past few months they have been proved wrong more often than right. The German economy has been far more resilient in the face of Euro strength than most people could have anticipated and it is for this reason that the ECB stands ready to raise interest rates. The cracks are showing however with industrial production falling 0.7 percent in September. For the ECB, what matters the most is which gets out of hand faster; growth or inflation. If oil prices resume their rise and take out $100 a barrel, the central bank may have no choice but to raise interest rates. On the other hand if growth starts to slow materially, which it could if the US financial sector gets hit by another wave of major subprime losses. In the more immediate future, we are expecting Eurozone GDP tomorrow; both French and German GDP are expected to be strong.

UK Consumer Prices are Hot

UK consumer prices were much stronger than expected today but that was not much of a surprise given the sharp rise in producer prices reported yesterday. This was the first time since June that the annualized pace of inflation growth has surpassed the Bank of England?s 2 percent target. The gains were unsurprisingly led by oil, food and air travel. Even though there are troubles in other parts of the UK economy, the latest inflation readings should be concerning to the central bank and eliminates any prospect of a near term interest rate cut. Meanwhile house prices fell to the lowest level in 2 years last month adding to the evidence that the property market in the UK is cooling. Tomorrow we are expecting UK employment data and the Quarterly Inflation report. Although the labor market is expected to hold steady, we could see a nice rise in average earnings.

2 Percent Moves in Australian and New Zealand Dollars

The Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars are all stronger today despite the drop in commodity prices thanks to better than expected economic data and an overall increase in risk appetite. Even though the Australian dollar hit a new 26 year high and the Reserve Bank raised interest rates, Australian business confidence rose last month along with business conditions. New Zealand reported faster growth in both food and general producer prices, retail sales are expected tomorrow. The tight labor market in New Zealand should fuel stronger consumer spending.

Source: DailyFx